An argument for $50 oil

Hooray for contrarians. Business Week's Mark Morrison says that the chances for $50-a-barrel oil are better than $100, pointing out the tepid response in the markets to both BP's partial shutdown of its Prudhoe Bay pipeline and the flare-up of fighting in the Middle East. His argument - and it's a reasonable one - is that overall economic growth has been slowing down and there's plenty of oil sloshing around. Of course, an unexpected disaster - Iran, another bad hurricane, etc. - could change everything, but assuming that doesn't happen, he sees prices perhaps reaching $50 and staying there for a year or two. And that, of course, would bring down gasoline prices. Well, maybe.


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Mark Lacter
Mark Lacter created the LA Biz Observed blog in 2006. He posted until the day before his death on Nov. 13, 2013.
 
Mark Lacter, business writer and editor was 59
The multi-talented Mark Lacter
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