New poll has Greuel leading by 1 point

Maybe it's an outlier, maybe it just reflects a race that always seemed closer than what several of the polls indicated. The latest survey by the Pat Brown Institute of Public Affairs shows Controller Wendy Greuel with 46 percent of likely voters, Councilman Eric Garcetti with 45 percent, and nine percent undecided. Less than three weeks ago an LAT-USC poll had Garcetti up by 10 points. Raphael Sonenshein, executive director of the Pat Brown Institute, tells the LAT that the expected low voter turnout "makes the election volatile and hard to predict." Public polling has been sparse and that might help explain the divergent numbers. No doubt TV ads could be critical in the final days - Service Employees Local 721 is out with a spot that urges voters to make history by voting for Greuel. The ad will run for the next 10 days.

More by Mark Lacter:
American-US Air settlement with DOJ includes small tweak at LAX
Socal housing market going nowhere fast
Amazon keeps pushing for faster L.A. delivery
Another rugged quarter for Tribune Co. papers
How does Stanford compete with the big boys?
Those awful infographics that promise to explain and only distort
Best to low-ball today's employment report
Further fallout from airport shootings
Crazy opening for Twitter*
Should Twitter be valued at $18 billion?
Recent Campaign 2013 stories:
Shallman and Carrick on 'Which Way, LA?' tonight
Greuel consultant blames the LA Times
Morning Buzz: Friday 5.24.13
Campaign 2013 photo gallery by Gary Leonard
Election post-mortem in quotes (some very pointed)

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Mark Lacter
Mark Lacter created the LA Biz Observed blog in 2006. He posted until the day before his death on Nov. 13, 2013.
Mark Lacter, business writer and editor was 59
The multi-talented Mark Lacter
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