Latest Intrade odds

McCain is now given only a 10 percent chance of an upset victory, according to the online prediction market, which is actually a bit better than what some of the pollsters and pundits are saying. (Expect his Intrade numbers to keep dropping as the day goes on.) Meanwhile, Time's Mark Halperin sumps up the situation thusly:

Barring an extraordinary shock, Barack Obama will win more than 270 electoral votes on Tuesday, giving him the White House. Hours before voting starts, John McCain has no clear path to reaching that same goal.

The problem with these predictions is that it runs the risk of a "Why bother?" attitude that could keep a lot of voters home tomorrow. Remember that California has all kinds of critical measures on the ballot, quite apart from the presidential race. We all need to vote.