In his latest newsletter, Pimco's Bill Gross expects those paltry investment returns to be with us for quite a while - even if not all investors have accepted that glum reality.
They are faced with 2.5% yielding bonds and stocks staring straight into new normal real growth rates of 2% or less. There is no 8% there for pension funds. There are no stocks for the long run at 12% returns. And the most likely consequence of stimulative government policies that strain to get us there will be a declining dollar and a lower standard of living.
The reference to pension funds is important because most all the plans (including those for the city of L.A.) continue to base future returns on that 8 percent level. If they turn out to be well below that percentage, as is likely, the city could be stuck for the balance.



Mark Lacter created the LA Biz Observed blog in 2006. He posted
until the day before his death on Nov. 13, 2013.