So why is a drop in the jobless rate not always a good thing?

Or why is an increase in the jobless rate not always a bad thing? A lot depends on the number of people entering and leaving the job market. If you stop looking for work out of frustration, you're not included in the jobless count, even though you still don't have work. Chapman University economist Esmael Adibi explains the math to the OC Register:

"Let's assume we have 100 people in the labor force with 91 employed and 9 unemployed. Your unemployment rate will obviously be 9%. If one of the unemployed becomes discouraged and leaves the labor force, then the numerator will become 8 and the denominator will become 99. As a result, the unemployment rate goes down to 8.1%. So the subtraction is done on both numerator and denominator, not just denominator."

L.A. County's unemployment rate increased to 13 percent in December, but that could be due to additional folks looking for work. Or not. This is one reason why a single number can be so misleading in judging where the economy is headed.


More by Mark Lacter:
American-US Air settlement with DOJ includes small tweak at LAX
Socal housing market going nowhere fast
Amazon keeps pushing for faster L.A. delivery
Another rugged quarter for Tribune Co. papers
How does Stanford compete with the big boys?
Those awful infographics that promise to explain and only distort
Best to low-ball today's employment report
Further fallout from airport shootings
Crazy opening for Twitter*
Should Twitter be valued at $18 billion?
Recent stories:
Letter from Down Under: Welcome to the Homogenocene
One last Florida photo
Signs of Saturday: No refund
'I Am Woman,' hear them roar
Bobcat crossing

New at LA Observed
On the Media Page
Go to Media

On the Politics Page
Go to Politics
Arts and culture

Sign up for daily email from LA Observed

Enter your email address:

Delivered by FeedBurner


Advertisement
Mark Lacter
Mark Lacter created the LA Biz Observed blog in 2006. He posted until the day before his death on Nov. 13, 2013.
 
Mark Lacter, business writer and editor was 59
The multi-talented Mark Lacter
LA Observed on Twitter and Facebook