Still betting on 'Social Network'

But not by much. The online trading service Intrade gives the film a 53.6 percent chance of winning Best Picture. That's down from around 90 percent just a few days ago, before the Oscar nominations came out. "The King's Speech" is up to 42 percent. Not sure about the significance of stuff like this - TKS grabbed more nominations than TSN because it's a more obvious fit in categories like costume design. In any event, having a horse race gives Oscar chroniclers more to write about. Meanwhile, Colin Firth and Natalie Portman are odds-on favorites to win Best Actor and Best Actress.