11:45 a.m.

No wind, fewer sirens, steady stream of aircraft dumping water.

Evacuation estimates (they range from 10,000 to 14,000) are wildly exaggerated. Our entire population is 13,000 residents, many of whom own second homes and don't live here fulltime. Large portions of the city are unaffected by this fire, which is located well west of Las Virgenes Road.

Here's the view from Paradise Cove just a minute ago, in the parking lot and up in the hills:

more firefighters arrive.

smoke but no visible fire.