Duck! Another LAT Poll

The new L.A. Times Poll has the recall itself still barely ahead (50-47 with 3% sampling error), Bustmante sinking like a leaky balloon (high negatives, under 50% Latino support), Arnold gaining with Latinos but overall mostly flat, and McClintock picking up momentum. The Times report by Michael Finnegan is here, the poll itself here in PDF and the analysis by poll director Susan Pinkus here in PDF. "The Great Poll Debate will continue," says Dan Weintraub, whose good instant analysis is here. The usual caveats apply -- about polls in this race and their less-informed critics.

Update: The Times compares its poll to Field and explains the differences. The LAT, for instance, polled more conservatives and fewer liberals. In the November election, by the way, exactly 35% of voters told the LAT exit poll they were liberal -- and exactly 35% said conservative.

Separate item: The Bear Flag League is a loose affiliation of Republican blogs that came together about the time the recall issue heated up. Justene Adamec, who if I remember correctly got it organized, takes a little roll call over at her CalBlog. Some of them are witty, all are recall obsessed, they guest-blog for each other when one goes on vacation, and at least six are lawyers with one law student. I have linked to several of them individually, but had not mentioned the league before, I don't think. Update: A few are mentioned in this Washington Post story today on recall bloggers.

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