Election by the numbers

Villaraigosa won at all income and education levels, among men and women, and at all age levels except 65 and older. After all the talk about Bernard Parks and the switching of black allegiance away from Hahn, it appears he still won the black vote, but just barely (last time he got 80%.)

Here are some observations gleaned from the City Clerk's website and the Times exit poll:

• Latino vote: The Times says a quarter of all ballots were cast by Latinos, a record high. In 2001 the paper's exit poll found that 22% were Latino; when Richard Riordan was elected in 1993, the figure was 10%.
• 13 of 15: Villaraigosa won every city council district except Hahn's 15th (San Pedro, city strip) and the 12th, Greig Smith's in the northwest Valley. That means he won in the backyard of every incumbent who endorsed Hahn, except for Smith.
• Bad call, Ed: Villaraigosa did best (75.1%) in the 1st district, represented by Ed Reyes, who endorsed Hahn. Villaraigosa's next best district (73.7%) was his own, the 14th.
• Villaraigosa strengths: Once again the candidate who won the Valley prevailed, though it wasn't crucial. Latinos went for Villaraigosa 84%-16%, Liberals 72-28, North of Santa Monica Freeway/east of Beverly Hills 71-29, Democrats 67-33, Catholics 67-33, Union members 60-40, Independents 59-41, Westside 57-43, Valley 55-45, Jews 55-45, Moderates 53-47, South of Santa Monica Freeway, 51-49. Whites split 50-50, but with a margin of error of over two points. All per the Times exit poll.
• Hahn strengths: Republicans 73-27, Conservatives 58-42, Age 65 and older 57-43, Non-Catholic Christians 56-44, Asians 56-44, Blacks 52-48, Valley whites 52-48.
• Eastside votes: Turnout was moribund citywide, and might reach 33% when all the votes are counted. But it was highest on the Eastside, 38% in Villaraigosa's home district and 37% in Reyes' 1st council district.

Here's a partial snapshot of the L.A. electorate in 2005, from the Times exit poll:

White 50%, Latino 25%, black 15%, Asian 5%, other 5%

Women 52%, men 48%

Valley 38%, Westside 17%

Catholic 29%, Non-Catholic Christian 29%, Jewish 17%

Democrat 70%, liberal Democrat 41%, Republican 18%, Independent 10%

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